4 years ago
Monday, July 30, 2012
Saturday, July 14, 2012
Confirmation Bias
I find that reading about a particular subject can shine light on a completely unrelated area of life. Not long ago, I enjoyed an article in an aviation magazine that assessed the factors involved when pilots make really stupid (in hindsight) decisions, often in the face of information that makes the choices made seem ridiculous, especially in light of the tragic outcomes that follow.
See if you can find any application for these human factors revealed in research and aviation experience:
Prov. 11:14.
(Quotes taken from "Looking for Confirmation" by Jay Hopkins, Flying, April 2012 pp. 26-28.)
See if you can find any application for these human factors revealed in research and aviation experience:
- We tend to "seek out and trust information that confirms what we already think or believe or want to believe, and avoid or discount information that goes against what we believe or want to believe."
- We "are more likely to notice information that we agree with or consider positive rather than focusing in on information that is contrary to our beliefs or goals."
- We "will ask questions so that an affirmative answer supports what (we) want to do."
- We "tend to give a lot more weight to the information that we receive early in a communication over information that is received later."
- The costs of proceeding in our desired course, in the face of more careful alternatives, are often unknown while the costs of not pressing on are often more certain.
Prov. 11:14.
(Quotes taken from "Looking for Confirmation" by Jay Hopkins, Flying, April 2012 pp. 26-28.)
Saturday, July 7, 2012
Lenticular
Otherwise known as Altocumulus lenticularis, or a cloud shaped like a lens. And it made for a beautiful backdrop as we headed to the trail head for Mt. Chapin in Rocky Mountain National Park.
My kids once gave me a sweatshirt with the message, "As a matter of fact, my head is in the clouds." Guilty as charged.
My kids once gave me a sweatshirt with the message, "As a matter of fact, my head is in the clouds." Guilty as charged.
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